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Bitcoin’s Key SOPR Metric Holds Steady: Are Long-Term Holders Eyeing Higher Prices?

Bitcoin has continued to see declining performance in recent days with on-chain metrics offering valuable insights into market behavior. Among these metrics, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for long-term holders has particularly emerged as a critical tool for assessing investor sentiment and market resilience. Long-term holders, defined as investors holding Bitcoin for over 155 days, are often viewed as a stabilizing force in the market. Their selling patterns can significantly influence price trends, making SOPR an indicator worth watching. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Leverage and Coinbase Premium: What Recent Data Reveals Long-Term Holder Trends And Market Sentiment Recent analysis from a CryptoQuant analyst known as Cryptoavails highlights that Bitcoin’s long-term holder SOPR metric continues to exhibit notable patterns as Bitcoin’s price trends upward. Historically, SOPR values above 1 indicate that long-term holders are selling at a profit, while values below 1 suggest they are offloading their holdings at a loss. This behavior reflects broader market confidence or capitulation during periods of price decline. Currently, the SOPR metric remains consistently above 1, signaling that long-term holders are selling profitably without adding significant downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. The analysis from Cryptoavails tracks key phases in the Bitcoin market over the past two years, highlighting significant shifts in SOPR values. For instance, in early 2022, the SOPR metric showed high volatility with frequent spikes, suggesting intense profit-taking activity by long-term holders. Amid these sales, Bitcoin’s price experienced a downward trend, reflecting persistent selling pressure during that period. This trend gradually shifted in late 2022 and early 2023 when the SOPR metric mostly remained below 1, indicating that long-term holders were selling at a loss as the market sought to find stability. By mid-2023, the SOPR began trending upwards, signaling renewed confidence among long-term investors. The metric consistently moved closer to or above the critical level of 1, suggesting that long-term holders were once again selling at a profit while market confidence began to recover. This upward trend has remained intact into 2024, supported by Bitcoin’s rising price levels. Importantly, there have been no significant sell-offs by long-term holders, reinforcing the broader market’s stability, according to the crypto analyst. SOPR As A Forward Indicator For Market Growth Overall, Cryptoavails mentioned that the current state of Bitcoin’s SOPR suggests a healthy market dynamic, with long-term holders contributing to a stable price structure. Despite periodic corrections, the sustained presence of SOPR above 1 indicates that selling pressure remains controlled. Related Reading: What’s The Worst Case Scenario For Bitcoin Right Now? Analyst Explains The analyst also pointed out that this behavior reflects market maturity, where long-term investors are not rushing to offload their holdings despite Bitcoin’s price appreciation. Regardless, Bitcoin has continued to consistently decrease in price since its sharp drop below $100,000 last week. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at a price of $93,991 down by 1.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView CoinOtag

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Ethereum Price Attempts a Comeback: Is a Rebound Imminent?

Ethereum price extended losses and dropped below the $3,450 zone. ETH is now recovering some losses and might rise if it clears the $3,445 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $3,500 zone. The price is trading below $3,450 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $3,300 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a decent increase if it clears the $3,450 and $3,500 resistance levels. Ethereum Price Stays Above $3,200 Ethereum price struggled to start a fresh increase above the $3,500 level and extended losses like Bitcoin . ETH gained bearish momentum below the $3,400 level and traded below $3,320. The price is now consolidating above the $3,220 and $3,200 support levels. A low was formed at $3,220 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a break above the $3,250 level. The price cleared the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,553 swing high to the $3,220 low. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $3,300 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $3,450 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average . On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,445 level. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,553 swing high to the $3,220 low. The first major resistance is near the $3,480 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,550. A clear move above the $3,550 resistance might send the price toward the $3,650 resistance. An upside break above the $3,650 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,720 resistance zone or even $3,800. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,445 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,220 zone. A clear move below the $3,200 support might push the price toward the $3,120 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,050 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,000. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,220 Major Resistance Level – $3,445 CoinOtag