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Understanding Bitcoin Struggles: Why Realized Cap Indicates A Bear Market

As Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s leading cryptocurrency, continues to trend lower, recent insights from industry experts highlight critical factors influencing BTC’s trajectory. According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of market intelligence firm CryptoQuant, the current Bitcoin bull cycle may be coming to an end. This assertion is grounded in the concept of Realized Cap, a metric that quantifies the actual capital entering the BTC market through on-chain activity. Insights From Ki Young Ju For context, the Realized Cap metric operates on a straightforward premise: when Bitcoin enters a wallet, it represents a purchase, and when it leaves, it signifies a sale. By calculating the average cost basis for each wallet and multiplying it by the amount of BTC held, Ju derives the total Realized Cap. This metric reflects the total capital that has genuinely entered the BTC ecosystem, contrasting sharply with market capitalization, which is determined by the last traded price on exchanges. Related Reading: Solana Faces Defining Level At $120 – Will History Repeat? A common misconception, according to Ju, is that a small purchase, such as $10 worth of Bitcoin, only increases market capitalization by that same amount. In reality, prices are influenced by the balance of buy and sell orders on the order book. Low sell pressure means that even modest buys can significantly elevate prices and, consequently, market cap. This phenomenon was notably exploited by MicroStrategy (MSTR), which issued convertible bonds to acquire Bitcoin, thereby inflating the paper value of its holdings far beyond the initial capital deployed. Key Price Levels For Bitcoin Currently, Bitcoin appears to be in a challenging position, dropping below the key $80,000 mark. When sell pressure is high, even substantial purchases fail to affect prices, as seen when Bitcoin traded near its all-time high of nearly $100,000. Despite massive trading volumes, the price remained stagnant. Ju points out that if Realized Cap is increasing but market cap is either flat or declining, it signals a bearish trend. This indicates that while capital is entering the market, it is not translating into price appreciation—a hallmark of a bear market. Conversely, if market capitalization is rising while Realized Cap remains stable, it suggests that even minimal new investment is driving prices up, indicative of a bull market. Presently, data suggests that Bitcoin is experiencing the former scenario: capital is flowing in, but prices are not responding positively. Historically, significant market reversals require at least six months to manifest, making a short-term rally seem unlikely. Related Reading: Ethereum Tanks Nearly 50% As Bitcoin Holds Stronger In Q1 Adding to the complexity, market expert Ali Martinez has identified key resistance levels that Bitcoin must overcome to regain upward momentum. Notably, there is a major resistance cluster at $87,000, where the 50-day moving average, 200-day moving average, and a descending trendline from the all-time high converge. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trajectory, the expert asserts that BTC must break through critical resistance points at $85,470 and $92,950. Additionally, support at $80,450 remains vital; failure to hold this level could lead to further declines. As of now, the leading cryptocurrency trades at $78,379, recording a 6% decline on Sunday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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Analyst Outlines Three Scenarios That Could Shape Bitcoin (BTC) Bullish Cycle

Despite market jitters and short-term volatility, Bitcoin remains in a confirmed bull market trajectory according to respected crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto, who recently shared an insightful breakdown on X . With Bitcoin ($BTC) still trading above its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), EGRAG emphasizes there’s “no need to worry,” while laying out three potential scenarios that could define the rest of this market cycle. The analysis carries weight for both Bitcoin maximalists and altcoin investors alike, highlighting massive opportunity across the digital asset spectrum—provided investors understand how cycles and liquidity flows work. #BTC -We Are Still in a Bull Run-ONLY FEW As long as #BTC is trending above the 21 EMA, there’s no need to worry! Here are three scenarios for #BTC : Retracement: The peak was $109K, and #BTC may retrace to Fib 0.702 ($97K). During this phase. #Alts will outperform… pic.twitter.com/dtqPyk0UUB — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) April 9, 2025 Bitcoin’s Key Technical Support: The 21 EMA The 21 EMA is widely regarded as a dynamic support level in trending markets, especially during bull runs. EGRAG underscores this point, stating that as long as BTC remains above this moving average, there is no structural reason to fear a reversal. This technical reassurance anchors his broader argument: we are still firmly within an uptrend, and the bull run is far from over. Scenario One: A Healthy Retracement to Fibonacci 0.702 In EGRAG’s first scenario, Bitcoin peaks at $109,000 and retraces to the key Fibonacci 0.702 level, which sits around $97,000. Rather than seeing this as a bearish development, he frames it as a healthy correction—one that historically marks a rotation point for capital to flow into altcoins. During this phase, EGRAG suggests that altcoins could outperform Bitcoin, creating an optimal window for traders to extract significant profits. He also issues a timely reminder: take profits when they come, as this phase can be both lucrative and short-lived. Scenario Two: Bitcoin Hits a New All-Time High of $177K The second scenario reflects a continued bullish breakout with Bitcoin targeting the Fibonacci 1.618 extension, landing at approximately $177,000. This target isn’t merely a speculative moonshot; it’s rooted in widely accepted fib-based technical analysis and reflects a natural expansion beyond previous cycle highs. In this environment, altcoins aren’t just expected to rise—they could explode. EGRAG estimates that many could yield gains between 10X to 20X from current levels, reigniting the speculative fervor that defined previous alt seasons. We are on twitter, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023 Scenario Three: ATH Expansion Mode and the Power of Liquidity In what EGRAG dubs the “wildest scenario,” Bitcoin enters ATH expansion mode—fueled by a confluence of macroeconomic factors including renewed liquidity injections, interest rate cuts, and possibly more fiscal stimulus. If this scenario plays out, it could redefine what’s possible in this market cycle. Small-cap altcoins could deliver 50X to 100X returns, while mid-caps might routinely post 30X gains. While such explosive growth may seem implausible to some, EGRAG reminds his audience that those who fail to understand liquidity cycles are often the loudest critics—and the least prepared when the market turns. Gold and the Liquidity Equation Interestingly, EGRAG also introduces a cross-market liquidity thesis by identifying gold as a potential source of fresh capital. As traditional investors cycle profits from soaring commodities like gold , that liquidity could flow into riskier assets like Bitcoin and altcoins, particularly as inflationary pressures ease and monetary conditions loosen. Understand the Cycle or Get Left Behind EGRAG Crypto’s message is clear: market cycles matter, and liquidity is king. While price volatility may shake out weak hands, long-term investors who understand the broader macro-technical picture have little to fear—and possibly much to gain. His blend of technical analysis, macro insights, and historical context makes a strong case for why we are still in a bull run and why the next leg could be more explosive than anything we’ve seen before. Whether Bitcoin retraces to $97K or soars to $177K and beyond, the critical takeaway is this: the cycle is still alive, and for those who pay attention, the opportunities could be generational. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Analyst Outlines Three Scenarios That Could Shape Bitcoin (BTC) Bullish Cycle appeared first on Times Tabloid . NewsBTC

Is Pepe Coin’s (PEPE) Pullback Over? Trader Predicts 3x Run Coming Soon, with This $0.20 Crypto Poised to Rally with It

The post Is Pepe Coin’s (PEPE) Pullback Over? Trader Predicts 3x Run Coming Soon, with This $0.20 Crypto Poised to Rally with It appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Pepe Coin (PEPE) has recently caught traders’ attention after an extended pullback that saw its price drop by 56.59% over the past 60 days. However, technical analysts have identified bullish formations that indicate a potential turnaround. A trader’s forecast suggests a 3x PEPE value surge, indicating a strong recovery ahead. But while PEPE is set to bounce back, another crypto is poised for an even bigger rally— Rexas Finance (RXS) , a $0.20 real-world asset tokenization project with a projected 55x growth potential. PEPE’s Technical Signals Indicate a Bullish Reversal Recent technical evaluations of PEPE’s price action have uncovered an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a historically bullish signal often preceding significant upward movements. If this pattern plays out as expected, PEPE could see a 40% increase in price from current levels. Moreover, whale accumulation has increased, with large investors scooping up 689 billion PEPE tokens worth $4.3 million. Such movements often indicate growing confidence in an asset’s future price trajectory. Currently trading at $0.000007252, traders anticipate a surge to $0.00000802 by March 20, 2025.Rexas Finance (RXS): A High-Potential Crypto Set to Explode Although PEPE’s positive setup is appealing, another cryptocurrency project—Rexas Finance—is setting itself up for a more significant surge. Unlike meme coins that rely on hype, Rexas Finance has strong foundations and practical value. This blockchain-powered platform can tokenize actual assets from real land and commodities to art and intellectual property. Rexas Finance releases trillions in unrealized market value by tying blockchain technology with tangible assets. From $0.030 at launch, RXS is currently priced in the last stage of its presale at $0.20—a dramatic 566% rise. Selling 457.9 million RXS tokens, the presale has raised an astounding $47.58 million. Early investors expect a 25% quick return once the launch date is slated for June 19, 2025, with an initial listing price of $0.25. More importantly, investors expect RXS to explode to $11 post-launch, boasting a shocking 55x growth potential. Why Investors Are Flocking to Rexas Finance (RXS) Rexas Finance is a breakthrough project altering the scene of asset ownership and investment, not just another cryptocurrency. Unlike ventures supported by venture capital that sometimes give institutional investors top priority, Rexas Finance has adopted a community-driven approach, guaranteeing equitable access to its ecosystem. Important events driving RXS’s extraordinary presale success include: CoinMarketCap & CoinGecko Listing: Rexas Finance has obtained listings on these elite venues, offering investors real-time tracking, openness, and transparency. Certik Audit: Certik’s exhaustive audit has raised investor trust by confirming project security and validity. $1 Million Giveaway: With 20 lucky winners scheduled to get $50,000 worth of RXS each, the continuous RXS contest has drawn over 1.75 million entries. Multi-Chain Support: The platform guarantees flawless asset tokenizing and trading by supporting ERC-20, ERC-721, and ERC-1155 criteria. Massive Market Opportunity: Rexas Finance is positioned to rule the real-world asset tokenizing space with a trillion-dollar total addressable market. The FOMO Around RXS’s Presale is Growing Investors are rushing to get their share before the price leaps to $0.25 at launch, as the last stage of the RXS presale is almost finished—91.58% complete. The idea is already drawing crypto titans and institutional investors and generating market attention. For those looking ahead, RXS is a more appealing investment than PEPE, which depends on speculative buzz, as it has actual value and long-term expansion possibilities. Pepe Coin’s pullback could end now, as it signals a rise above $0.000007252, and a trader predicts a 3x run coming soon. However, this $0.20 crypto, Rexas Finance (RXS) , is poised to rally with PEPE. RXS could rise 55x, reaching $11 post-launch. Conclusion: PEPE and RXS—Two Cryptos to Watch Both cryptocurrencies provide excellent opportunities for investors, given PEPE’s expected 3x breakout and Rexas Finance’s 55x growth potential. Though market speculation and whale movements fuel PEPE’s gain, RXS provides a more solid basis with practical use and institutional-grade acceptance. Rexas Finance is an excellent long-term investment with significant upside. Now is the ideal moment to grab RXS tokens before they explode post-launch when the presale window shuts. For more information about Rexas Finance (RXS) visit the links below: Website: https://rexas.com Win $1 Million Giveaway: https://bit.ly/Rexas1M Whitepaper: https://rexas.com/rexas-whitepaper.pdf Twitter/X: https://x.com/rexasfinance Telegram: https://t.me/rexasfinance NewsBTC