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Bitcoin and other crypto assets faced headwinds in the first quarter of 2025 as global economic tensions intensified. After a strong start to the year driven by optimism over President Donald Trump’s return and supportive macroeconomic expectations, the crypto market struggled with a sharp drop in trading volumes. According to a new report by Kaiko, the tariff measures introduced by the Trump administration contributed to increased volatility and risk-off behavior among market participants. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In After Trump’s Tariff Pause? Here’s What To Expect Crypto Q1 Volume and Liquidity Performance Bitcoin, which had rallied to new highs in January, has now fallen by over 25% from its peak, ending the quarter down approximately 12%. Ethereum and the top altcoins also saw declines, with AI and memecoins posting average losses above 50%. Weekly volumes for BTC, ETH, and other major tokens averaged $266 billion, down 30% from levels seen in late 2024. Kaiko attributed much of the decline to offshore exchange activity falling and traders pulling back due to rapid market swings and uncertainty. U.S.-based exchanges maintained strong market depth despite broader selloffs, buffering the impact on Bitcoin’s liquidity. Platforms like Coinbase, Kraken, and CEX.IO collectively comprised 60% of BTC’s market depth in Q1. This allowed BTC to outperform many altcoins, which suffered from both reduced demand and thinner liquidity. Kaiko noted that this environment favored larger-cap assets and further highlighted the resilience of BTC compared to other riskier assets in the crypto space. The report noted: Altcoin volatility surged in early 2025, reaching multi-year or all-time highs for certain tokens, notably Cardano’s ADA. Bitcoin’s volatility also rose, from 34% in February to 51% in March, though it stayed below the peaks observed during last August’s carry trade unwinding. The growing volatility gap between Bitcoin and altcoins may discourage risk-averse traders from entering the market in the near future. The Path Ahead: Outlook For Q2 Looking forward, Kaiko analysts believe the second quarter could offer renewed opportunities. The White House’s recent decision to delay tariff implementation by 90 days has already sparked a short-term rally, suggesting sensitivity to macroeconomic developments remains high. More importantly, structural tailwinds are building: the expansion of the stablecoin market, pending ETF approvals for altcoins, and the appointment of pro-crypto SEC Chair Paul Atkins could all support a recovery In addition, the stablecoin sector, led by USDT and USDC, has grown 33% since late 2024, now exceeding $230 billion in supply. Historical data from Kaiko suggests that expansions in stablecoin supply often precede broader crypto rallies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Crushed: $500 Million Liquidation Shakes Market Confidence With over 40 crypto-related ETF applications pending review and two stablecoin bills gaining momentum in Congress, the potential for renewed institutional participation is rising. Kaiko’s report concluded that if market volatility subsides and regulatory clarity improves, Q2 may mark a shift in sentiment. While risks remain from geopolitical tensions and economic policies, the combination of macro catalysts and maturing infrastructure may pave the way for renewed growth, particularly for Bitcoin. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Exploring Chain-Aligned TVL: A New Perspective on Polygon’s Ecosystem Value
In the evolving landscape of decentralized finance, the efficacy of Total Value Locked (TVL) is under scrutiny, with experts like David Silverman advocating for a more precise metric. Silverman emphasizes NewsBTC
XRP To $50? Technical Analyst Lays Out The Roadmap
XRP owners experienced a rollercoaster ride last week as the cryptocurrency fought to remain above the $2 level. The altcoin, which recently exchanged hands at $2.13, fell by almost 20% between April 5 and 7, touching a five-month low of $1.78. However, the token soon regained its ground with a 15% jump the next day, reclaiming the $2 region – although it still struggles to maintain this position. Related Reading: BNB Goes Up In Smoke: CZ Honors Nearly $1 Billion Token Burn Promise Market Analyst Unfazed By Volatility Technical analyst Cryptominder remains unfazed by recent price swings, boldly declaring he’s buying XRP at today’s prices. Though certain experts foresee levels between $12 and $15, Cryptominder has put forward an ambitious goal of $50 by 2030. This prediction is a whopping 2,330% climb from today’s levels around $2.06, with annual growth of over 80% for the next half-decade. This growth rate is within reach, says Cryptominder, citing last year’s 230% price appreciation of XRP as proof. The analyst went as far as to say that market observers would look back at his call with acknowledgment in the future. In 5 years from now $XRP will be over 50$ price. Today is the day you will remember. You will say to your friends that we never believed in XRP when it was 0.09$ we never believed at 0.35$ we never believed at 2$. I buy this XRP you are not. I bought at these prices! — Cryptominder (@Crypt0minder) April 17, 2025 Skeptics Reminded Of Previous Missed Opportunities Cryptominder targeted risk-averse investors who are reluctant to purchase at $2. He compared it to the same sentiment during the time when XRP only cost $0.09 in May 2017 and then subsequently at $0.35. Both prices eventually realized significant returns for investors who purchased in, he asserted. The analyst pointed to his own experience purchasing at these lower levels, and indicated that the current $2 level might provide similar potential for expansion. This pattern in the past is the foundation for his lofty $50 target. Other Analysts Share Similar Optimism Cryptominder is not alone in being bullish. Following reports, Amonyx said last August XRP would beat $10 before hitting $50, stating “no one could stop the momentum.” More recently, Edoardo Farina intimated that investors would kick themselves for failing to buy if and when XRP hits $50, so far even making a suggestion on the potential at $100. #XRP will quickly go above $10+ and then above $50+, there is nothing you can do about it. ????#XRPHolders #XRPCommunity pic.twitter.com/B8pFABeZLK — Amonyx (@amonbuy) August 28, 2024 Some market experts seem to support these estimates, predicting a high price of $48 for XRP by 2030 – similarly close to Cryptominder’s estimate. However, other analysts provide a more cautious timeline, estimating that XRP will not hit the $50 mark until 2033. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominates Q1: Altcoin Season Nowhere In Sight—Report Price Performance Shows Recent Recovery Efforts The recent price action indicates XRP making efforts to stabilize following its steep decline. Having recently retreated to $1.78, the altcoin was able to recover and drive back above $2, albeit holding on to this level has not been easy. Market observers point out that even with these challenges, bears have yet to fully take over the price action. Based on price charts, XRP must set stronger support higher than the $2 psychological mark in order to gain momentum towards any future expansion. The fact that the token managed to bounce back by 14.33% in a single day reflects the potential for sudden movements in either direction and illustrates the extremely volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView NewsBTC
