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Is The Bitcoin Price Top In At $109,000 Already? What The MVRV Z-Score Says

After months of bullish momentum that pushed the Bitcoin price to an all-time high of over $109,000 earlier this year, analysts are now debating whether that surge marked the official market top. Strengthening this argument, a confluence of technical indicators suggests the market cycle may have already peaked—most notably, the behavior of the Market Value to Real Value (MVRV) Z-Score reinforces this view. MVRV Z-Score Shows Bitcoin Price Has Topped A new technical analysis by crypto analyst Tony Severino, which combines MVRV Z-Score and monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI), is flashing warning signs that Bitcoin‘s market top may already be in. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 Looking at the logarithmic price chart, Bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Score has broken below a long-standing uptrend support line. This pattern is significant, as the Z-Score has always respected the uptrend support lines during bull markets, with similar breaks only emerging after Bitcoin reaches an official market top. Notably, this isn’t the first time Bitcoin has displayed such a trend behavior. Similar support line breaks occurred before BTC’s market peaks during the 2017 and 2021 bull cycles. The bearish argument that Bitcoin may have already reached a price peak is further strengthened by the visual correlation between the Z-Score and Bitcoin’s monthly RSI, which is shown by a black line on the chart. In past cycles, Bitcoin’s RSI fell below 70 twice, indicating fading momentum and weakening price action. Historically, such moves below the 70 level occur shortly after price tops, not before. Even more compelling, the RSI-based Moving Average (MA), highlighted by the orange line on the chart, is now curling downwards. This subtle but strong signal has only appeared in past cycles after the market has already topped, serving as a confirmation rather than a prediction. Taken together, these technical indicators and historical trends strongly suggest that Bitcoin’s $109,000 peak may have marked the top of this market cycle. In line with previous post-top bull market behavior, Bitcoin could now be on the verge of entering a prolonged bear market. This bearish outlook is reinforced by recent steep price corrections, reduced investor confidence, and a clear shift in market sentiment toward caution and uncertainty. Bulls Attempt To Reverse Bitcoin Bearish Outlook In another of his most recent analyses of Bitcoin, Severino revealed that bulls appear to be pushing for a price recovery. The analyst acknowledged that his previously dominant bearish narrative of Bitcoin may soon see a significant shift if bulls can sustain momentum into April’s monthly close. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Open Interest Too High Or Can The BTC Price Still Rally? According to the presented chart, Bitcoin is now testing a key area of interest while simultaneously showing early bullish signs of reversing the bearish crossover on the monthly long-term Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Adding to the intrigue, the possible formation of a Morning Star candlestick pattern reinforces the possibility of a bullish reversal for Bitcoin. Notably, similar chart setups occurred in 2022 and mid-2023, both of which marked major turning points for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. If the cryptocurrency manages to close April with a complete Morning Star pattern, it could force a reevaluation of bearish expectations. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com Decrypt

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XRP Network Activity Jumps 67% In 24 Hours – Big Move Ahead?

XRP has emerged as one of the most resilient performers in the crypto space over recent months, showing relative strength even as broader market conditions remain shaky. After climbing steadily, XRP is now facing a critical test near the $2.10–$2.20 resistance zone — a level that could determine the asset’s next major move. Despite this hurdle, recent data points to strong underlying network activity that supports the bullish case. Related Reading: Solana Short-Term Indicator Signals Potential Risk – Reversal Or Pause? According to Glassnode, XRP network activity surged 67.50% in recent days, with the number of active addresses jumping from 27,352 to 40,366. This spike in activity suggests growing interest and participation on-chain, a key indicator often associated with sustained momentum. As investors closely monitor the broader market’s reaction to macroeconomic events, XRP stands out as a token that continues to draw attention based on both price performance and blockchain engagement. With bulls attempting to break through resistance, the coming days will be crucial for XRP’s trajectory. A successful breakout could ignite a fresh rally, while a rejection may invite short-term consolidation. Either way, XRP’s rising on-chain metrics indicate the asset remains firmly on investors’ radar. XRP Market Eyes Breakout As Active Addresses Surge XRP bulls are holding strong as the market braces for its next major move. After staying consistently above the $1.80 level, XRP now appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum. Analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic, especially as the broader macroeconomic environment hints at eventual easing. Once tensions between global superpowers begin to cool and markets gain clarity, many believe a large surge across crypto assets, led by XRP, could follow. While sentiment grows more positive, some analysts warn of another leg down before a true breakout occurs. They suggest the market may need to establish a stronger demand base by dipping below current lows to shake out weak hands. This view contrasts with the more bullish narrative, but both sides agree: a major move is brewing. Adding to the bullish thesis, crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared key data from Glassnode showing a significant uptick in XRP network activity. Over the past few days, active addresses on the XRP Ledger jumped 67.50%, rising from 27,352 to 40,366. This spike signals heightened user engagement and increasing on-chain demand — often a precursor to notable price movement. With network activity accelerating and price structure holding firm, XRP may be nearing a critical inflection point. Related Reading: Ethereum Analyst Sets $3,000 Target As Price Action Signals Momentum – Details Price Faces Key Technical Test: Can Bulls Defend $2 Level? XRP is currently trading at $2.10, showing resilience near a critical support zone. However, a technical warning is flashing on the chart. The 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) is on the verge of crossing below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a pattern that often signals weakening bullish momentum or potential market fatigue. This development places added pressure on bulls to defend the $1.95 support level. A breakdown below this point could lead to further downside and reset market sentiment. For now, holding above this zone remains crucial to maintain short-term bullish structure and avoid a larger retracement. On the upside, a decisive breakout above the $2.25 level would confirm renewed buying interest and mark the beginning of a recovery rally. Such a move could take XRP toward the upper boundary of its current range and reignite momentum across the broader altcoin market. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters Historic Buy Zone As Price Dips Below Key Level – Insights As XRP navigates this pivotal moment, traders are watching closely to see whether bulls can sustain the rally or if a deeper consolidation phase is coming. With network activity rising and investor interest holding strong, this price zone could determine the next major direction for XRP. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView Decrypt