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Toncoin Could See A 65% Surge In The Next 43 Days—Here’s Why

The cryptocurrency market has shown heightened activity in early 2025, with Toncoin (TON) emerging as one of the spotlighted assets following an analysis shared by a CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci. According to recent data, the 90-day percent return metric for TON indicates the early stages of an uptrend, raising expectations of a sustained rally in the coming weeks. This trend has been observed historically, with similar metrics signaling substantial gains in past bull cycles. Related Reading: Toncoin Price Recovery Continues — Is The Dwindling Staking TVL Ratio Bullish? Historical Data Suggests Strong Price Potential Kesmeci disclosed that historical analysis reveals that TON has previously demonstrated notable performance following reversals in the 90-day percent return metric. For example, in August 2023, TON rose from $1.72, delivering a 65% gain over 70 days. Similarly, in February 2024, the asset surged by 258% in just 43 days after a similar metric reversal. The most recent example, recorded in November 2024, saw TON climb 32% within 11 days. These instances suggest that when the 90-day percent return metric crosses into positive territory, it often serves as a precursor to significant upward price movement. The current trend, which began just seven days ago, has sparked optimism among investors who are considering short-term accumulation strategies. Kesmeci reveals that if historical trends persist, TON could experience a median gain of 65% over the next 43 days. The analyst wrote: Currently, we observe that the “90-day percent return” metric for TON has entered a bull trend for the fourth time. It has been only 7 days since this reversal. Based on previous data: Expected duration: 43 days (median value) Potential percentage return: 65% (median value) These insights suggest that TON is likely to continue its upward trend in the short term. However, it is worth noting that market conditions and external factors, such as overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector, could influence the trajectory of this trend. Toncoin Market Performance Since the year began, Toncoin has been unable to make a significant movement towards the upside. Instead, the altcoin has continued to face consistent decline. Over the past two weeks, TON has now plunged by a double-digit performance of nearly 12%. This has brought the asset’s price to currently trade below $6 as of today marking a 7.5% decline in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, despite the consistent decline from TON in recent weeks, the asset’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend. Related Reading: Toncoin Consolidates: Could A Breakout Push TON Higher? Particularly, in the past 7 days, TON’s daily trading volume has moved from $200 million last Wednesday to now sitting at roughly 344 million as of today. Given the current trend in TON’s price, it is worth noting that this increase in TON’s trading volume might be from the continuous selling pressure in the TON market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView NullTx

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Bitcoin Market Analysis: Mixed Signals Amid Institutional Accumulation and Bearish Concerns

Despite Bitcoin’s remarkable rally last year, the MVRV ratio—used to gauge market sentiment—has yet to breach the 3.2 level, a historical threshold for “extreme euphoria.” If reached, this would correspond to a price of approximately $132,000. Historically, Bitcoin has spent just 5% of its trading days above this level, underscoring its rarity and the market’s restraint this cycle. Despite #Bitcoin `s impressive rally last year, MVRV levels above 3.2 – the typical threshold for extreme euphoria – haven’t been reached this cycle. If #BTC were to reach this level, it would correspond to a price of ~$132K: https://t.co/aqPpGPMKgB pic.twitter.com/Vf1Hj9gD9M — glassnode (@glassnode) January 8, 2025 Institutions Accumulate, Retail Demand Fades Following Bitcoin’s sharp price drop on December 21, institutional investors acted swiftly, accumulating over 34,000 BTC at prices below $95,000 within the past 30 days. While retail demand remains at its lowest in five years, steady on-chain accumulation since June 2024 signals that institutions are focused on the long-term outlook for Bitcoin. After the big $BTC dump on Dec 21, institutions wasted no time, scooping up over 34,000 BTC under $95K in the last 30 days. Retail demand may be at a 5-year low, but on-chain accumulation has been steady since June 2024. Institutions are playing the long game. pic.twitter.com/Y1ymidqRlt — Kyledoops (@kyledoops) January 8, 2025 Technical Patterns and Key Support Levels Bitcoin recently invalidated a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern after breaching the right shoulder. However, a swift reversal erased those gains, pulling the price back below the pattern and renewing bearish sentiment. The recent downswing has seen Bitcoin fall below a critical demand zone of $95,400–$98,400, where 1.77 million addresses purchased over 1.53 million BTC. If selling pressure drives Bitcoin below $92,000, the next major support lies between $74,000 and $78,000, raising fears of a potential crash. On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim the $100,000 level to negate the bearish outlook and aim for new all-time highs. Short-Term Recovery or Further Decline? On the 4-hour chart, the TD Sequential indicator has presented a buy signal, suggesting a potential rebound to $98,600, where a $35 million liquidation zone exists. However, macroeconomic conditions and a weakening demand zone suggest caution remains warranted. ETF Inflows Signal Institutional Interest On January 7, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $52.39 million, with BlackRock’s IBIT ETF contributing $596 million. The total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs now stands at $110.12 billion, indicating continued institutional interest despite market volatility. On January 7, the total net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF was 52.3899 million US dollars, and the net inflow of BlackRock ETF IBIT was 596 million US dollars. The total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETF is currently 110.115 billion US dollars. https://t.co/59u0BnDSW8 pic.twitter.com/MRH4P1K7jZ — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) January 8, 2025 In conclusion, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook suggests a potential rebound, but a drop below $92,000 could spell trouble, leading to a steep decline toward $74,000. Reclaiming $100,000 is crucial for invalidating the bearish scenario and resuming its upward trajectory. #Bitcoin $BTC is back below $100,000! Now what?? Let`s dive in — Ali (@ali_charts) January 8, 2025 Disclosure: This is not trading or investment advice. Always do your research before buying any cryptocurrency or investing in any services. Follow us on Twitter @nulltxnews to stay updated with the latest Crypto, NFT, AI, Cybersecurity, Distributed Computing, and Metaverse news ! Image Source: sinenkiy/ 123RF // Image Effects by Colorcinch NullTx