Disclaimer: The opinion expressed here is not investment advice – it is provided for informational purposes only. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of BitMaden. Every investment and all trading involves risk, so you should always perform your own research prior to making decisions. We do not recommend investing money you cannot afford to lose.

Bitcoin Price Bounces Back—Can It Finally Break Resistance?

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $83,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to settle above the $85,500 zone. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $83,500 zone. The price is trading above $83,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $84,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $83,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $82,000 support zone . BTC formed a base and recently started a decent recovery wave above the $82,500 resistance zone. The bulls were able to push the price above the $83,500 and $84,200 resistance levels. The price even climbed above the $85,000 resistance. A high was formed at $85,487 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $81,320 swing low to the $85,487 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $83,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average . There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $84,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $85,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $85,500 level. The next key resistance could be $85,850. A close above the $85,850 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $86,650 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $88,000 level or even $88,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $85,500 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $84,500 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $83,500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $81,320 swing low to the $85,487 high. The next support is now near the $82,850 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $82,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $80,500. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $84,500, followed by $83,500. Major Resistance Levels – $85,200 and $85,500. CoinOtag

---

Shifting Sentiment? Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Stay Put Despite Losses

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders are choosing to retain their digital assets despite incurring unrealized losses. CryptoQuant contributor Onchained explained that short-term BTC holders have recorded significantly lower realized losses compared to their unrealized losses. Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Expecting A Price Rally? The first quarter of 2025 has been marked by high price volatility in the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin. BTC has dropped from approximately $97,000 on January 1 to around $83,000 at the time of writing, reflecting a decline of more than 15%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Make Big Moves As Bullish Momentum Resurfaces Despite this price pullback, short-term BTC holders continue to hold onto their assets instead of selling at a loss. CryptoQuant contributor Onchained analyzed the Short-Term Holder Net Realized PNL to Exchanges, highlighting a shift in selling behavior. According to the analyst, BTC holders who have owned their coins for one to three months have been the most active sellers in recent days, even at the cost of realizing losses. This is unusual, as short-term investors holding BTC for less than a week are typically the most reactive sellers. However, recent data shows a significant decline in selling pressure to cryptocurrency exchanges. This suggests that BTC holders who purchased their coins in the last six months are opting to hold onto their assets rather than panic sell. This shift in selling behavior among short-term holders could have multiple implications. A decline in selling pressure may indicate a change in investor sentiment, with holders willing to endure short-term losses in anticipation of long-term gains. While the analyst cautioned that this data does not predict future price movements, it does provide valuable insights into market psychology. The analysis states: Are short-term holders finally holding the line? If so, this could reduce downside volatility and set the stage for stabilization, or even a reversal. Onchained concluded that short-term holders currently control 28% of BTC’s circulating supply. If a significant portion of these holdings transitions to long-term holders, it could pave the way for Bitcoin’s price to surge beyond $150,000. Is BTC About To Stage A Comeback? Alongside the decline in short-term BTC selling pressure, several other exchange-related metrics suggest the possibility of an upcoming price surge for the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Daily RSI Downtrend, But Analyst Warns Of Strong Resistance Ahead Recently, crypto entrepreneur and market commentator Arthur Hayes claimed that BTC “probably” hit this market cycle’s bottom during its plunge to $77,000 on March 10. However, Hayes noted that the stock market could still experience further pullbacks. While Bitcoin has been in a downtrend for the past few months, gold has surged to multiple new all-time highs (ATHs) due to ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainty. BTC’s poor performance against the precious metal is likely to continue as the US trade tariff threat looms. At press time, BTC trades at $83,953, up 2.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com CoinOtag