Bitcoin has recently begun to see a major recovery in its price, reclaiming the $66,000 mark earlier today. This sudden positivity in price performance has prompted debates on whether retail investors and newcomers have returned to the market. Although there has so far been speculation about increased retail participation, a detailed analysis reveals a more nuanced picture. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Braces For Volatility Ahead Of Chinese Stimulus Speculations, Options Expiry A Closer Look At Retail Participation According to a CryptoQuant analyst, BinhDang, in a recent post on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, the trends among smaller retail groups show growth and stagnation in different areas, reflecting a complicated dynamic in the current market cycle. In the post titled “1 Year Change – From Plankton to Fish Addresses,” BinhDang broke down Bitcoin wallet activity into several categories of retail investors, including plankton (addresses holding more than 0 but less than or equal to 0.1 BTC), shrimp (holding more than 0.1 but less than 1 BTC), and fish (holding between 10 and 100 BTC). These smaller groups were analyzed because they better represent retail investors than larger wallet categories like whales or humpbacks, which tend to be dominated by institutional players or exchanges. One of the key observations made by BinhDang is that the growth in retail addresses is uneven, particularly among the smallest investors. The plankton addresses, representing individuals holding tiny amounts of Bitcoin, have shown almost negligible growth from 2023 to the present day. This starkly contrasts previous cycles, where significant price increases were accompanied by a sharp rise in the number of retail investors holding small amounts of Bitcoin. The analyst explained that this slower growth could reflect broader economic conditions, including the global decline in monetary flows over the past few years, which may have discouraged new entrants from investing in Bitcoin. Potential For Future FOMO In Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle The uneven growth in retail addresses points to a cautious return of retail investors to the Bitcoin market. However, there are still positive signs that the current cycle has room to expand. BinhDang highlighted the trend of retail investors, particularly those in the “fish” category (holding between 10 and 100 BTC), who have continued accumulating Bitcoin, suggesting that while smaller investors may be hesitant, more seasoned participants are preparing for the next phase of the bull cycle. The data indicates that while retail participation is not as strong as in previous cycles, there remains the potential for a final wave of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) that could drive Bitcoin to new heights. The analyst particularly wrote in the post: So, the data suggests that future FOMO waves are still possible in this cycle. Based on these observations, I conclude there is still a basis to look forward to a final wave in this cycle. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Vice President Kamala Harris to Double Down on Support for Crypto
United States presidential candidate and current Vice President Kamala Harris continues to engage the cryptocurrency community as part of her “Opportunity Economy” agenda. On October 14, she is scheduled to meet with Black entrepreneurs in Erie, Pennsylvania, where she will discuss her support for Black-owned small businesses, cryptocurrency and digital asset regulation, as well as the federal legalization of cannabis. Cedric Richmond, a co-chair of the Harris campaign, stated that this event is part of Harris’s “Opportunity Economy” initiative. According to a statement given to a local NPR affiliate in New Hampshire, Richmond explained that Harris is focused on building NewsBTC
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Soars 20%: Can The Momentum Last?
Bitcoin Cash price started a major increase above the $350 resistance. BCH is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $385 resistance. Bitcoin cash price started a fresh increase above the $350 level. The price is trading above $365 and the 100-hour simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $355 on the hourly chart of the BCH/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears the $380 resistance zone. Bitcoin Cash Price Starts Fresh Surge After forming a base above the $315 level, Bitcoin Cash price started a fresh increase. BCH outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum to gain over 20%. There was a clear move above the $350 resistance zone. The price even surpassed $365 and tested the $385 resistance zone. A high was formed near $385.95 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a minor move below the $375 level. The price dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $318.02 swing low to the $385.95 high. Bitcoin cash price is now trading above $365 and the 100-hour simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $355 on the hourly chart of the BCH/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $318.02 swing low to the $385.95 high. Immediate resistance on the upside sits near the $380 level. A clear move above the $380 resistance might start a decent increase. The next major resistance is $385, above which the price might accelerate higher toward the $400 level. Any further gains could lead the price toward the $420 resistance zone. Fresh Drop in BCH? If Bitcoin Cash price fails to clear the $380 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $365 level. The next major support is near the $355 level or the trend line. If the price fails to stay above the $355 support, the price could test the $340 support. Any further losses could lead the price toward the $332 zone in the near term. Technical indicators 4-hour MACD – The MACD for BCH/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. 4-hour RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is currently above the 50 level. Key Support Levels – $365 and $355. Key Resistance Levels – $380 and $385. NewsBTC