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Bitdeer: The Bitcoin Miner To Watch In 2025
Summary Bitdeer has shown impressive growth, up 233% since my June “buy” rating, driven by vertical integration and diversification into HPC and AI hosting. Bitdeer stands out with its all-in-one Bitcoin mining model, including self-hosting, cloud mining, ASIC hardware, and hosting services, ensuring year-round revenue. The company is expanding its capacity, targeting 2540 MW by 2026, with significant projects in Norway, Ohio, and Bhutan, aligning with its HPC and AI diversification. Despite high R&D costs, Bitdeer maintains strong short-term liquidity and is poised for revenue growth with the commercial rollout of SEALMINER machines in 2025. Bitdeer ( BTDR) has shown impressive performance in this Bitcoin ( BTC-USD ) market cycle, being one of the new entrants into the publicly traded Bitcoin miner list, having made its market debut just last year. BTDR is up 233% since I last covered it in June with a “buy” rating. My “buy” rating in June was buoyed by the company`s vertical integration strategy through the development of its proprietary ASIC mining hardware, known as the SEALMINER. Its steady capacity expansion, and the company`s diversification into HPC and AI hosting. Miners` stock price Dec 4 to December 27 (Seeking Alpha) Among the Bitcoin miners, Bitdeer has recently shown a type of momentum that isn`t a fluke. Since Bitcoin hit the very important $100,000 psychological level on December 4, Bitdeer has led the gains among publicly traded Bitcoin miners - a stark opposite of when I covered it in June at a time it lagged in YTD gains among miners. Bitdeer is up 47% since Bitcoin crossed that key milestone for the first time. BTDR has defied the Bitcoin-driven volatility that other Bitcoin stocks have been experiencing. Mining peers like Mara Holdings ( MARA ), Riot Platforms ( RIOT ), Hut 8 Corp. ( HUT ), Core Scientific ( CORZ ), IREN Limited ( IREN ), and CleanSpark ( CLSK ) have all recorded negative returns (see the chart above) since Bitcoin decreased from the $100k mark, now trading around $93,000; however, BTDR remains defiant. BTDR is exhibiting the characteristics of a strong growth stock, going to 2025. Strengths for Bitdeer Going Into 2025 The crypto community anticipates 2025 to be a transformative year for Bitcoin and crypto in general. The newly elected U.S. President, if true to campaign promises, will be creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve. And the creation of this reserve is a main catalyst that most Bitcoin investors are hoping for, as this will give Bitcoin more legitimacy and increase demand for the asset. If this happens, the positive effect on well-positioned Bitcoin-linked businesses will be enormous. And how well is Bitdeer positioned going into 2025 to leverage Bitcoin bull market momentum? Here are some factors I’d consider. Bitdeer- The Most Diversified Bitcoin Miner Bitdeer continues to stand out among the miners today both in its operations model and its price chart. As of today, Bitdeer is one of the few miners that can be considered an “all-in-one” provider of Bitcoin mining products and services. Bitdeer has a foothold across all the Bitcoin mining business models - self-hosting, cloud mining, hosting services, ASIC hardware manufacture and sales, and is also diversifying into HPC and AI. This level of diversification will create an all-year-round sales improvement for Bitdeer in 2025. When hosting services demand is low, those resources can be migrated for use in self-hosting. When Bitcoin price takes a dip, revenue from HPC (if it eventually kicks off fully in 2025) could help offset that from mining. The propriety hardware Bitdeer has been building will also be available for commercial sale, opening new stream for revenue for the miner. Expanding Capacity Bitdeer seems ready for all aspects of mining and hosting business, with 895 MW total capacity currently and a target of 2540 MW capacity by 2026. An additional 1,100 MW of power capacity is expected to go online in 2025. The company is advancing the construction of a 175 MW data center in Norway, with approximately 40 MW expected to be operational by the end of 2024. A 221 MW data center is under development in Ohio, with construction anticipated to be completed in 2025. A 500 MW data center project commenced in March this year in Bhutan, with completion expected in mid-2025. The expansion aligns with the company`s diversification into HPC and AI. The 1,100 MW of electricity going online in 2025 will accelerate Bitdeer’s hashrate capacity expansion as well as the HPC service. Bitdeer is looking to achieve over 40 EH/s hashrate under management capacity in 2025 with its proprietary SEALMINER machines. Based on the company`s latest reports , the SEALMINER A1 is at the mass production stage and commercial sales of the A2 machines will kick off in Q1 next year. 3.7 EH/s of the A1 machines were being mass-produced as of the end of Q3. 0.1 EH/s of the A1 machines is already energized and 0.4 EH/s delivered for installation, as of the end of Q3. Bitdeer`s energy capacity expansion and self-mining expansion are progressing on the same timeline. Having both the power capacity and self-mining hashrate deployed at the same timeline means that the new mining machines will be immediately operational once deployed, helping Bitdeer achieve better efficiency. New Sales Pipeline and Solid Short-Term Liquidity Despite weak financials in the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), Bitdeer has managed its balance sheet prudently. In Q3, Bitdeer saw very poor margins. Gross profit was a mere $2.8 million of the $62 million reported revenue - which represented a 4.5% gross margin. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $8.5 million. The financials were hampered by high operating expenses which mainly consisted of R&D costs. The high operating expenses in Q3 were due to R&D costs of $24.8 million related to the one-off development expense of the SEAL02 chip and amortization expense of intangible assets related to acquisition of ASIC design firm Freechain Inc. Bitdeer has managed to keep its short-term liquidity position on its balance sheet attractive, despite the high R&D costs and the effects that the Bitcoin halving has had on its business. Bitdeer still maintains a positive equity position of $520.7 million in the short term, and $291.3 million in cash and 430 Bitcoin held. Data by YCharts Bitdeer’s R&D expenses have truly been on the high side in 2024. But now that the commercial roll-out of the SEALMINER machines and chips is drawing near, there should be an increase in revenue generation and better margins once the machines hit the market. Sales from these machines should be able to offset future operating expenses related to the mining machines production. Demand for the Bitdeer miners is taking an uptrend even before they officially hit the market. As of the end of Q3, around 7 Eh/s of the 35 Eh/s SEALMINER A2s under production for commercial sale have already been reserved by customers. 7 Eh/s represents around 30,000 mining units. While many of our peers have pursued a self-mining hash rate growth strategy, we pursued a more long-term strategy of first focusing resources on the development of our own ASIC technology. We believe this significantly differentiates our business from the rest of the sector in terms of our strategic positioning, revenue and cost structure. Q3 earnings call Risks While Bitdeer`s short-term liquidity position looks good, last month Bitdeer added leverage to its long-term liquidity position by issuing $360 million in convertible notes bearing an annual interest rate of $5.25%. Though this strengthens Bitdeer`s ability to fund expansion and growth initiatives, this new debt has increased Bitdeer`s financial risk because the crypto market remains volatile, and overnight events that can turn the market highly bearish should not be ruled out. Any time a miner takes on debt, it presents fresh risks. Takeaway SEALMINER Roadmap (Bitdeer) Bitdeer has followed through with the SEALMINER roadmap. And the company`s entry into the ASIC market, currently valued at around $10 billion, will change the financial and market standing of Bitdeer in 2025. BTDR is a Bitcoin mining stock to watch out for in 2025. Verified Market Research Bitdeer is entering into the ASIC equipment manufacturing sector with mining machines that will go head-to-head with those of the leading players in the space. Bitdeer’s SEALMINER A2 machines, utilizing the more efficient SEAL02 chips, have undergone testing. The tests conducted in October showed the SEALMINER A2 achieved 226 th/s and an efficiency of 16.5 joules per terahash. The stat is impressive and is on par with what is obtainable from the most popular miners currently in the market, from manufacturers like Bitmain and Canaan. I wish you a happy and bullish new year in advance. Crypto Briefing
Record DEX Trading Volume Reaches $320B in December: Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Raydium Lead the Surge
DEX trading volume soared to an all-time high of $320.5 billion this December, according to data from The Block, surpassing the previous monthly record of $299.6 billion set in November. This surge underscores the mounting popularity of decentralized finance (DeFi) products and services, with many investors favoring decentralized exchanges (DEXs) for their transparency, user custody of funds, and permissionless trading. Leading the pack among decentralized exchanges were Uniswap with $103 billion in trading volume, followed by PancakeSwap’s $72 billion and Raydium’s $54.6 billion. Meanwhile, centralized exchanges (CEXs) also posted impressive figures, reaching $2.78 trillion in spot trading volume, the highest since May 2021—indicating that both centralized and decentralized platforms are thriving in the current market cycle. Notably, Binance alone accounted for $950 billion of that CEX volume in December, reinforcing its position as a juggernaut among centralized platforms. In this extensive exploration, we’ll dissect the implications of DEX trading volume hitting a record high, compare decentralized and centralized exchanges, examine underlying factors fueling such trading activity, and predict how these evolving ecosystems could shape cryptocurrency markets in 2025 and beyond. Along the way, we’ll also address concerns about market fragmentation, liquidity, regulatory oversight, and user experience. 1. Understanding the December DEX Trading Volume Milestone 1.1 The Rise from $299.6B to $320.5B Just a month ago, decentralized exchange volumes were already on a notable upswing, breaching $299.6 billion in November. The December leap past $320 billion marks a rapid expansion that’s capturing the attention of both new and seasoned market participants. This near 7% increase in month-on-month activity highlights the broader trend: more traders are migrating to or experimenting with DEXs. Several factors could explain this momentum: DeFi Innovation : DeFi platforms continue to release new features—yield farming strategies, liquidity mining programs, and cross-chain bridges that facilitate easier asset transfers. These innovations often draw users looking for novel revenue-generating opportunities. Heightened Security Awareness : Users are placing greater emphasis on self-custodial solutions following numerous security breaches and insolvencies in centralized entities over the years. DEXs allow individuals to retain control of their private keys. Market Volatility : Crypto price fluctuations can spur short-term traders, scalpers, and arbitrageurs to capitalize on spreads across various protocols, boosting overall trading volumes on DEXs. 1.2 Leading Platforms: Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Raydium Uniswap ($103B) : Having launched in 2018, Uniswap remains the top decentralized exchange on Ethereum. Its automated market maker (AMM) model revolutionized how users trade tokens without relying on traditional order books. Over time, Uniswap introduced multiple versions (v2, v3) to improve efficiency and liquidity management. PancakeSwap ($72B) : Built on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC), PancakeSwap has experienced explosive growth thanks to lower fees and faster transaction times compared to Ethereum mainnet. Its popularity in yield farming, lotteries, and initial farm offerings (IFOs) expanded its user base quickly. Raydium ($54.6B) : Operating on the Solana blockchain, Raydium benefits from Solana’s high throughput and low costs. It also provides liquidity for Serum’s decentralized order book, helping Raydium attract both AMM-centric traders and those seeking a more traditional trading experience. These top three DEXs serve different blockchains, indicating that DEX adoption isn’t limited to Ethereum. Cross-chain platforms, sidechains, and layer-2 solutions are also contributing to the overall volume growth by offering alternatives with lower fees or faster transaction confirmation times. 2. Parallel Growth in Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) 2.1 CEX Spot Trading Volume: $2.78 Trillion Even as decentralized finance garners headlines, centralized exchanges remain dominant in raw volume terms, posting an impressive $2.78 trillion in December. This figure is the highest monthly CEX volume since May 2021, underscoring that many retail and institutional traders continue to rely on the liquidity, user experience, and broader asset offerings that centralized platforms provide. 2.2 Binance’s Dominance Binance accounted for $950 billion (roughly 34%) of the CEX volume in December—a staggering concentration that highlights the exchange’s expansive product suite, marketing reach, and deep liquidity pools. Binance’s ecosystem goes beyond spot trading, extending into futures, staking, loans, and an NFT marketplace. This wide range of services often keeps users within Binance’s ecosystem instead of migrating to other platforms. 2.3 Comparing CEX and DEX Models Although CEXs still command a larger share of the market, the DEX ecosystem’s surge to $320.5 billion is noteworthy. It suggests that both models have their own strengths: Custody of Funds : On a DEX, users maintain custody of their private keys. CEXs, on the other hand, require customers to deposit funds with the exchange— introducing counterparty risk if the exchange is hacked or insolvent. Regulatory Clarity : CEXs often hold licenses or comply with local regulations, while many DEXs navigate a gray area. However, regulators are increasingly turning their attention to decentralized protocols. User Experience (UX) : Centralized platforms typically offer smoother onboarding, advanced trading tools, and customer support. DEX interfaces can be less intuitive, though new solutions aim to close this gap. Liquidity : Historically, CEXs had an advantage in liquidity, but as DEX volumes and cross-chain solutions mature, that gap is narrowing. 3. Key Factors Driving DEX Adoption 3.1 Regulatory Pressures and User Privacy Some traders are gravitating toward DEXs in pursuit of privacy and less stringent know-your-customer (KYC) requirements. Concerns over personal data leaks and the possibility of asset freezes or confiscations on CEXs have made decentralized alternatives appealing. However, this aspect may change if global regulators push stricter rules on decentralized platforms. 3.2 Self-Custody and Decentralized Governance A core philosophical pillar of cryptocurrencies is decentralization. DEXs embody this principle by allowing users to control their private keys, removing single points of failure. Moreover, many DEXs use governance tokens that empower holders to vote on protocol upgrades, fee structures, and other crucial decisions—encouraging community-driven development. 3.3 Technological Maturation and Layer-2 Scalability Rising transaction fees and network congestion on Ethereum initially slowed DEX adoption. However, the advent of layer-2 solutions (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync) and alternative layer-1 blockchains (e.g., BNB Chain, Solana, Avalanche) has significantly lowered gas costs and improved throughput. This evolution makes it more feasible for retail users to trade on DEXs without incurring exorbitant fees. 3.4 Diverse DeFi Services Beyond simple token swaps, many DEXs now offer: Liquidity Farming : Users can stake tokens to earn yield or governance tokens. Lending/Borrowing Protocols : DeFi lending markets allow users to deposit assets as collateral to borrow other tokens. Derivatives Trading : Protocols like dYdX or GMX facilitate perpetual swaps and margin trading with decentralized liquidity. Such integrated services create a one-stop ecosystem for DeFi participants, driving higher trading volumes. 4. Challenges Facing Decentralized Exchanges 4.1 User Experience and Education Despite rapid improvements, some DEXs remain daunting to newcomers unfamiliar with wallets, seed phrases, or bridging assets between blockchains. Educational resources, user-friendly interfaces, and reliable customer support are paramount to attract mainstream traders. 4.2 Security Concerns While self-custody eliminates certain risks, it also places full responsibility on users to maintain their private keys and avoid scams. Smart contract vulnerabilities can lead to exploits or draining of funds. Ensuring robust security audits and adopting decentralized insurance measures can mitigate these risks. 4.3 Fragmented Liquidity The crypto market is increasingly multi-chain. Although cross-chain bridges and interoperable solutions are improving, liquidity can still be scattered across diverse platforms, complicating price discovery. Projects like ThorChain, LayerZero, and multi-chain DEX aggregators aim to unify liquidity, but fragmentation remains an ongoing challenge. 4.4 Regulatory Uncertainty Lawmakers around the world are scrutinizing DeFi. Concerns about illicit financing, tax evasion, and consumer protection prompt calls for new regulations. However, enforcing these on protocols with no centralized entity remains complex. The outcome of these policy debates could either spur institutional acceptance or impose new hurdles on decentralized platforms. 5. Growth Trajectory for CEXs: Still Irreplaceable? 5.1 Institutional Adoption Centralized exchanges often serve as gateways for institutional capital. Regulatory compliance, custodial solutions, and business-friendly interfaces make them more appealing to hedge funds, asset managers, and publicly traded companies dipping their toes into crypto. As a result, large-scale investments typically enter the market via CEXs before trickling into DEXs. 5.2 Launchpads and Token Offerings IEOs (Initial Exchange Offerings) remain a preferred fundraising method for some crypto startups, primarily because CEXs handle the marketing, compliance checks, and user verification processes. Exchanges like Binance Launchpad or KuCoin Spotlight have successfully introduced new projects to millions of users. 5.3 Reputation and Brand Recognition Large exchanges like Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken have established brand recognition that breeds consumer trust. Institutional investors and even retail participants often opt for well-known centralized platforms, especially if they’re uneasy about the complexity or perceived risks of decentralized trading. 5.4 The Likelihood of Coexistence Given the advantages of both models, it’s plausible that CEXs and DEXs will coexist, each targeting distinct user demographics. Some analysts expect the future to be “hybrid,” blending aspects of decentralization (e.g., user custody, trustless transactions) with centralized compliance and user experience enhancements. CEXs might incorporate decentralized order matching or integrate with layer-2 networks, while DEXs could adopt compliance tools to keep regulators satisfied. 6. Detailed Look at Leading DEX Platforms 6.1 Uniswap: Pioneer on Ethereum V3 Concentrated Liquidity : Uniswap’s latest version allows liquidity providers to concentrate their capital within specified price ranges, dramatically increasing capital efficiency. Governance Token (UNI) : UNI token holders shape protocol decisions, from fee structures to development roadmaps. Ecosystem Growth : Numerous applications integrate Uniswap for token swaps, making it a backbone of the broader Ethereum DeFi environment. 6.2 PancakeSwap: BNB Chain Powerhouse Lower Transaction Costs : Operating on the BNB Chain (formerly Binance Smart Chain), PancakeSwap caters to users deterred by Ethereum’s high gas fees. Gamified Farming : Its user-friendly interface and features such as “Syrup Pools,” lotteries, and NFTs enhance the platform’s appeal to mainstream and novice crypto users. CAKE Governance : The CAKE token grants holders voting rights on proposals, marketing fund usage, and new product rollouts. 6.3 Raydium: Fast Transactions on Solana Solana Ecosystem : Raydium benefits from Solana’s high throughput (up to tens of thousands of transactions per second) and meager transaction fees. AMM + Order Book : By connecting with Serum’s central limit order book, Raydium uniquely merges automated liquidity provision with more traditional order book trading. RAY Token : The platform’s native token, RAY, is used for governance, staking rewards, and yield farming opportunities. 7. Emerging Trends: Cross-Chain DEXs and Aggregators 7.1 Cross-Chain Interoperability As DeFi matures, users often hold assets across multiple blockchains (e.g., Ethereum, BNB Chain, Solana, Avalanche, Polygon). Cross-chain DEXs and bridging solutions aim to unify this liquidity, enabling seamless swaps without the need to hop through multiple platforms. Protocols like ThorChain and LI.FI are pioneering ways to facilitate cross-chain trades in a single transaction. 7.2 DEX Aggregators To address liquidity fragmentation and deliver the best possible prices (lowest slippage, minimal fees), DEX aggregators like 1inch, Matcha, or Paraswap route trades across various AMMs and liquidity sources. By splitting orders across multiple DEXs, these platforms optimize the overall execution for end users. 7.3 Hybrid Models Projects like Injective Protocol, Osmosis, and Polkadot-based parachains are experimenting with hybrid AMM/order book designs, front-running protection, and novel liquidity-incentivization mechanisms. Over time, these advanced architectures may further boost DEX volumes by delivering a more CEX-like experience without sacrificing decentralization. 8. Regulatory Developments and Their Impact 8.1 Growing Scrutiny on DeFi Regulators worldwide—from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to the European Commission—are increasingly examining DeFi. Areas of concern include: KYC/AML Compliance : Authorities worry about the anonymity some DEXs afford, potentially facilitating money laundering or terrorist financing. Tax Obligations : Automated yield farming and frequent token swaps can complicate tax reporting, prompting calls for clearer guidelines. Consumer Protection : With no central authority, users can fall victim to scams or rug pulls. Regulators may require accountability measures like audits and disclosures for DeFi protocols. 8.2 Possible Regulatory Pathways Regulated DEXs : Projects may voluntarily integrate KYC or create “permissioned pools” that only whitelisted wallets can access—catering to institutions or regulated entities. Securities Classification : Some tokens traded on DEXs could be classified as securities, subjecting the exchanges to stricter oversight and licensing. Self-Regulation : The crypto industry might introduce best-practice frameworks or standards to appease regulators without sacrificing decentralization entirely. 8.3 Impact on DEX Volume In the short term, more rigorous regulation could slow DEX activity, particularly among privacy-centric users. However, transparent guidelines may also encourage institutional adoption, propelling volumes higher in the long run. A balanced approach could streamline mainstream acceptance while preserving DeFi’s core values. 9. Market Outlook: Could DEX Trading Volume Keep Climbing? 9.1 Adoption Beyond Crypto-Natives Future growth depends on expanding beyond crypto-savvy traders into mainstream finance. As blockchain technology becomes more user-friendly and applications like “DeFi 2.0” simplify yield opportunities, DEX usage could swell dramatically. Partnerships with traditional financial institutions might also open the doors for bigger capital inflows. 9.2 DeFi Mergers and Acquisitions We may see established financial players invest in or acquire DeFi projects. Such involvement could broaden the user base but also create debates about how “decentralized” these platforms remain under corporate stewardship. Nonetheless, it may be a catalyst for bridging the gap between legacy finance and DeFi. 9.3 Macroeconomic Climate The macro environment—interest rates, inflation, and global economic conditions—can significantly affect crypto markets. If monetary policies remain loose or uncertainty grips traditional markets, some investors may allocate more capital to crypto, further boosting DEX volumes. Conversely, a flight to safety in risk-averse conditions might dampen volumes. 9.4 Competition and Innovation Competition among DEXs spurs innovation. Enhanced user interfaces, advanced order types, lower fees, and cross-chain operability could persuade more users to adopt DEXs. However, if security issues or front-running problems persist, certain traders may remain loyal to centralized platforms. 10. Conclusion December’s DEX trading volume record of $320.5 billion reflects the continued maturation and adoption of decentralized finance—a phenomenon that seemed niche just a few years ago. Platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Raydium exemplify the breadth of opportunities available across multiple blockchains, while centralized giants such as Binance continue to dominate overall market share with an impressive $950 billion in trading activity this month alone. Looking forward, the parallel growth of CEXs and DEXs suggests a crypto ecosystem diverse enough to accommodate a wide range of preferences and use cases. Regulatory challenges, technological refinement, and user-experience improvements are likely to shape how both models evolve. DEXs could capture even more users if they can offer competitive liquidity, intuitive designs, and robust security—without alienating regulators. Simultaneously, CEXs must balance innovation with compliance demands, appealing to both retail traders and institutions seeking deeper liquidity and integrated financial services. Whether DEX volumes continue breaking records or CEXs retain their lion’s share, one thing is clear: the crypto market has grown remarkably sophisticated, with users having more choices than ever before. DEXs represent a transformative force, championing decentralization and user sovereignty, while CEXs deliver the convenience and scale that many still rely on. In this dual landscape, each month’s volume figures serve as a barometer, revealing shifting preferences, technological advancements, and the ongoing quest for a more inclusive, resilient financial system. To learn more about the innovative startups shaping the future of the crypto industry, explore our article on latest news , where we delve into the most promising ventures and their potential to disrupt traditional industries. Crypto Briefing